CFCL State Model

This application is an intelligence based prediction model which can forcast the UREA sales in India. The application uses game theory applied to UREA demand and supply senariors to predict the opening markets and expected returns.

The model is designed to be run over a period of time in which the variables (dependancies) can be modified as they become available. Some of the important variables in the model are :

  1. rainfall
  2. total production
  3. plant shutdowns
  4. urea movement

For example if one company moves urea to a one market then it will vacate another market since its production is limited. This module will search out these vacated markets and take into account the movement subsidy provided by the Government of India.

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